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Instruments and Systems: Monitoring, Control, and Diagnostics Annotation << Back
Econometric approach to the fire risk management
for Russian regions |
S.N. TROSTYANSKIJ
S.V. SKRYL’
YU.YU. GROMOV
YU.N. ZENIN
M.S. DENISOV
We obtain quantitative dependence for probabilities of the fire incident and probabilities of deaths in the fire from socio-economic,
administrative and legal factors. For our research we are using official statistics about fire incident in the non-residential premises
from different regions of Russia. We are show these factors are similar to factors which define the level of crime in the regions. The
results of our model are correlate with model of a rational offender. The offender rationality means that the violation of fire safety
requirements occurs if the expected owners income exceeds possible losses. We are found that the for compliance with fire safety
regulations the economic interests of owners play important role. This information can be used for making management decision.
Keywords: panel data, the dynamic model, fire risks, social factors, regions of Russia.
Contacts: E-mail: trost58@rambler.ru
Pp. 24-31. |
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